Am I the only one missing the optimism in the employment situation these days?
The New York Times headlined “Jobs Data Is Strong, but Not Too Strong…”
The Commissioner of the BLS stated that the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 7.6 percent.
The real unemployment rate (U-6) actually rose from 13.8 percent to 14.3 percent.
No optimism there!
The economy needs to add ~360,000 jobs per month for three years to get the unemployment rate to 6%
Last month, it added 161,000.
That isn’t even half of what we needed!
Part Time Employment is Becoming the New Normal
In actuality, last month the economy added 322,000 part time for economic reasons workers, making the total almost 8.2 million for June. (Economic reasons means “These individuals were working part time because their hours had been cut back or because they could not find a full time job.”)
The employment population ratio is down to 58.7%, and the civilian labor participation rate is down 0.3 percent for the year.
The New York Times calls this Strong Jobs Data?
What are they thinking?
The Economic Populist Blog sums up the situation like this:
A huge problem with today’s labor market is the gross number of working part-time generally. There are a huge number of people who need full-time jobs with benefits who can’t get decent career oriented positions. Those forced into part time work is now 8,226,000, an increase of 322,000 from last month. Those stuck in part-time has increased 16,000 from a year ago, not a good sign of the labor market. This is a hell of a lot of people stuck with part-time hours who need full-time work. Of those considered employed, a whopping 27,270,000 of them are in part-time jobs, for whatever reason. That’s 18.9% of people employed are in part-time jobs, a very high ratio.
What about the people that are not counted in the official statistics?
‘Not in Labor Force, Want a Job Now’ numbers 6,580,000- over 2.2 million more than prior to the recession.
Hopeful jobs report?
Not if one actually thinks about it thinks about it.
It’s even worse than it appears. The BLS might be fudging their numbers – http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-07-09/exposing-lie-behind-nonfarm-payroll-numbers
Dan, Thanks for making me look like an optimist!
The delta between the BLS reports is (sadly) convincing.
Thanks for sharing.